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2004 United States presidential election in West Virginia








2004 United States presidential election in West Virginia


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United States presidential election in West Virginia, 2004





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November 2, 2004
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George-W-Bush.jpeg

John F. Kerry.jpg
Nominee

George W. Bush

John Kerry

Party

Republican

Democratic
Home state

Texas

Massachusetts
Running mate

Dick Cheney

John Edwards
Electoral vote

5
0
Popular vote

423,778
326,541
Percentage

56.06%
43.20%


WestVirginiaPresidentialElection2004.svg
County Results












President before election

George W. Bush
Republican



Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican


The 2004 United States presidential election in West Virginia took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 5 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.


West Virginia was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 12.9% margin of victory. Prior to the election, 8 of 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a red state, while others considered it as a swing state. Democrat President Bill Clinton easily won this state in 1992 and 1996, but Bush carried WV in 2000 with just 52% of the vote. On election day, President Bush won here with a 6.5% better margin than his performance in 2000, signaling that the state was trending Republican at the presidential level. This was despite the fact that over 50% of the state's population were registered Democrats and both senators were Democrats.


This also marked the last election in which West Virginia voted for the same presidential candidate as neighbouring Virginia. Since then, West Virginia would vote for the Republican presidential candidate whilst neighbouring Virginia would vote for the Democratic candidate. As of the 2016 presidential election[update], this is the last election in which Fayette County, Brooke County, Logan County, and Mingo County voted for the Democratic candidate. Bush was the 1st Republican to win West Virginia twice since William McKinley.




Contents





  • 1 Primaries


  • 2 Campaign

    • 2.1 Predictions


    • 2.2 Polling


    • 2.3 Fundraising


    • 2.4 Advertising and visits



  • 3 Analysis


  • 4 Results


  • 5 Results breakdown

    • 5.1 By county


    • 5.2 By congressional district



  • 6 Electors


  • 7 See also


  • 8 References




Primaries[edit]


  • West Virginia Democratic primary, 2004


Campaign[edit]



Predictions[edit]




There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]


  1. D.C. Political Report: Lean Republican


  2. Associated Press: Toss-up


  3. CNN: Bush


  4. Cook Political Report: Lean Republican


  5. Newsweek: Lean Bush


  6. New York Times: Leans Bush


  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush


  8. Research 2000: Toss-up


  9. Washington Post: Battleground


  10. Washington Times: Battleground


  11. Zogby International: Bush

  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush


Polling[edit]


Early on, pre-election polling showed the election as a pure toss up. But after September 14, Bush pulled away and reached 50% or higher in the polls. The final 3 poll average showed Bush leading 50% to 44%.[2]



Fundraising[edit]


Bush raised $527,380.[3] Kerry raised $627,425.[4]



Advertising and visits[edit]


Bush visited the state 8 times. Kerry visited the state 6 times.[5] A total of between $100,000 to $550,000 was spent each week. As the election went on, both tickets spent less and less here each week.[6]



Analysis[edit]


More than any other state, West Virginia highlighted Kerry's trouble in Appalachian America. It swung heavily to the Democrats during the days of Franklin D. Roosevelt and remained reliably Democratic for most of the next 68 years. It often voted for Democrats (such as Jimmy Carter and Mike Dukakis) who went on to big national defeats. This was largely due to its blue-collar, heavily unionized workers, especially coal miners, who favored Democratic economic policy. Starting with Al Gore, however, the state's voters became more concerned with environmental policies advocated by the Democrats, especially regarding coal, which is a large source of jobs in the state. This made them more receptive to Republicans.



Results[edit]






















































United States presidential election in West Virginia, 2004[7]
Party
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Electoral votes


Republican

George W. Bush

423,778

56.06%

5


Democratic

John Kerry
326,541
43.20%
0

Independent

Ralph Nader
4,063
0.54%
0

Libertarian

Michael Badnarik
1,405
0.19%
0

Constitution

Michael Peroutka
82
0.01%
0

Write Ins
13
<0.01%
0

Green

David Cobb
5
<0.01%
0

Totals

755,887

100.00%

5
Voter turnout (Voting age population)
53.3%


Results breakdown[edit]



By county[edit]


































































































































































































































































































































































































































































County
Bush #Bush %
Kerry #Kerry %
Other #Other %
Total #
Barbour3,97559.77%2,63639.63%400.60%6651
Berkeley20,72463.09%11,88836.19%2360.72%32848
Boone4,16341.18%5,89058.26%570.56%10110
Braxton2,96449.33%3,01450.17%300.50%6008
Brooke5,14748.13%5,46051.06%860.80%10693
Cabell20,77755.51%16,32843.63%3230.86%37428
Calhoun1,56954.92%1,25343.86%351.23%2857
Clay2,18353.95%1,82445.08%390.96%4046
Doddridge2,34073.96%79225.03%321.01%3164
Fayette7,76746.40%8,86052.93%1120.67%16739
Gilmer1,66058.43%1,15340.58%280.99%2841
Grant4,00580.62%94419.00%190.38%4968
Greenbrier6,74357.06%4,98842.21%870.74%11818
Hampshire5,46568.66%2,44430.70%510.64%7960
Hancock7,22450.98%6,82948.19%1170.83%14170
Hardy3,60068.83%1,60630.71%240.46%5230
Harrison16,91355.93%13,10243.32%2270.75%30242
Jackson7,60458.43%5,33240.97%770.59%13013
Jefferson10,44252.76%9,20246.50%1470.74%19791
Kanawha43,77750.57%42,32148.89%4720.55%86570
Lewis3,50064.46%1,86334.31%671.23%5430
Lincoln2,17547.49%2,37851.92%270.59%4580
Logan6,51345.44%7,76054.14%590.41%14332
Marion12,71750.73%12,08248.20%2671.07%25066
Marshall8,44356.51%6,37942.70%1180.79%14940
Mason6,45154.13%5,37445.09%930.78%11918
McDowell2,72937.76%4,46461.76%350.48%7228
Mercer12,91458.41%9,05240.94%1420.64%22108
Mineral7,64068.42%3,44430.84%830.74%11167
Mingo4,54443.21%5,91256.22%600.57%10516
Monongalia17,45951.48%16,13647.58%3170.93%33912
Monroe3,59660.22%2,32138.87%540.90%5971
Morgan3,97864.99%2,08634.08%570.93%6121
Nicholas5,38952.92%4,71846.33%760.75%10183
Ohio11,53957.42%8,40641.83%1520.76%20097
Pendleton2,12060.50%1,36739.01%170.49%3504
Pleasants2,02359.87%1,33339.45%230.68%3379
Pocahontas2,28258.56%1,56540.16%501.28%3897
Preston7,81365.85%3,94433.24%1070.90%11864
Putnam15,58762.50%9,22336.98%1290.52%24939
Raleigh18,07260.70%11,52238.70%1800.60%29774
Randolph6,49556.70%4,88042.60%800.70%11455
Ritchie3,06073.58%1,06025.49%390.94%4159
Roane3,42456.42%2,59942.82%460.76%6069
Summers2,96353.94%2,48945.31%410.75%5493
Taylor2,67357.55%1,94341.83%290.62%4645
Tucker2,15160.54%1,38238.90%200.56%3553
Tyler2,77065.97%1,38633.01%431.02%4199
Upshur6,13466.68%2,99832.59%670.73%9199
Wayne9,99854.08%8,36345.23%1280.69%18489
Webster1,70646.45%1,94352.90%240.65%3673
Wetzel3,60951.90%3,29347.35%520.75%6954
Wirt1,35164.58%71434.13%271.29%2092
Wood22,78863.06%13,11136.28%2390.66%36138
Wyoming4,93057.09%3,66642.46%390.45%8635


By congressional district[edit]


Bush won all three congressional districts.[8]


















District
Bush
Kerry
Representative

1st

58%
42%

Alan Mollohan

2nd

57%
42%

Shelley Moore Capito

3rd

53%
46%

Nick Rahall


Electors[edit]



Technically the voters of WV cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. WV is allocated 5 electors because it has 3 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 5 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 5 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.


The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.


The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 5 were pledged for Bush/Cheney:


  1. Rob Capehart

  2. Doug McKinney

  3. Dan Moore

  4. Richie Robb

  5. Larry Faircloth


See also[edit]





References[edit]




  1. ^ [1]


  2. ^ [2]


  3. ^ "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20..mw-parser-output cite.citationfont-style:inherit.mw-parser-output .citation qquotes:"""""""'""'".mw-parser-output .citation .cs1-lock-free abackground:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/65/Lock-green.svg/9px-Lock-green.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center.mw-parser-output .citation .cs1-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .citation .cs1-lock-registration abackground:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-gray-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center.mw-parser-output .citation .cs1-lock-subscription abackground:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-red-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registrationcolor:#555.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription span,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration spanborder-bottom:1px dotted;cursor:help.mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon abackground:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4c/Wikisource-logo.svg/12px-Wikisource-logo.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center.mw-parser-output code.cs1-codecolor:inherit;background:inherit;border:inherit;padding:inherit.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-errordisplay:none;font-size:100%.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-errorfont-size:100%.mw-parser-output .cs1-maintdisplay:none;color:#33aa33;margin-left:0.3em.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration,.mw-parser-output .cs1-formatfont-size:95%.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-leftpadding-left:0.2em.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-rightpadding-right:0.2em


  4. ^ "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.


  5. ^ "Specials". Cnn.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.


  6. ^ "Specials". Cnn.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.


  7. ^ "Official General Election Results for US president (2004)" (PDF). p. 5. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 13, 2009. Retrieved 2009-07-17.


  8. ^ "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008". Swing State Project. Retrieved 2015-05-20.










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